Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.017218 0.021661 0.027549 0.036198 0.049091 0.068554 0.102338
2025-01-05 0.011639 0.016034 0.022719 0.034400 0.056304 0.101261 0.224296
2025-01-12 0.009120 0.013266 0.020133 0.033608 0.063543 0.143321 0.500098
2025-01-19 0.007960 0.012135 0.019597 0.035932 0.079100 0.235608 1.782737
2025-01-26 0.007294 0.011605 0.019873 0.040029 0.104224 0.448781 22.511602
2025-02-02 0.006763 0.011160 0.020134 0.044296 0.137281 0.954475 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006070 0.010249 0.019125 0.044667 0.157388 1.709108 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005519 0.009510 0.018290 0.045148 0.180743 3.448857 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005045 0.008842 0.017448 0.045214 0.204045 7.877726 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004530 0.008008 0.016018 0.042602 0.205670 13.349264 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004152 0.007417 0.015078 0.041402 0.217844 34.415332 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003907 0.007080 0.014724 0.042310 0.253437 551.925898 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003617 0.006652 0.014160 0.042697 0.296357 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003276 0.006070 0.013079 0.040451 0.304839 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003020 0.005648 0.012354 0.039462 0.331880 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002898 0.005518 0.012431 0.042370 0.453021 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002831 0.005504 0.012853 0.047539 0.719484 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002760 0.005474 0.013219 0.052977 1.203145 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002612 0.005227 0.012824 0.053452 1.527100 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002480 0.005007 0.012476 0.054067 1.989580 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002354 0.004787 0.012085 0.054152 2.537882 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002196 0.004470 0.011300 0.050811 2.446841 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002075 0.004238 0.010781 0.049283 2.703375 NaN NaN